Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican district, rated R+18 by nonpartisan analysts, has consistently delivered large margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 10 Republican primary while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition, Kelly’s incumbency since 2015, and established voting patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter this positioning before the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$108,001 거래량
$108,001 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
95%
민주당
5%
$108,001 거래량
$108,001 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$77,449 거래량
95%
민주당
$30,552 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican district, rated R+18 by nonpartisan analysts, has consistently delivered large margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 10 Republican primary while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition, Kelly’s incumbency since 2015, and established voting patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter this positioning before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$108,001종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican district, rated R+18 by nonpartisan analysts, has consistently delivered large margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 10 Republican primary while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition, Kelly’s incumbency since 2015, and established voting patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter this positioning before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$108,001종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican district, rated R+18 by nonpartisan analysts, has consistently delivered large margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 10 Republican primary while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition, Kelly’s incumbency since 2015, and established voting patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter this positioning before the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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