Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10, 2026, primary solidified his nomination in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at overwhelming odds for the November 3 general election. Kelly's historical margins—69.8% in 2024—and fundraising dominance, with over $826,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Cliff Johnson's $65,000, reinforce this positioning amid ratings of Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and others. While a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could challenge the outcome, such shifts face significant structural barriers in this battleground-resistant district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$105,411 거래량
$105,411 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
95%
민주당
6%
$105,411 거래량
$105,411 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$77,078 거래량
95%
민주당
$28,333 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10, 2026, primary solidified his nomination in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at overwhelming odds for the November 3 general election. Kelly's historical margins—69.8% in 2024—and fundraising dominance, with over $826,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Cliff Johnson's $65,000, reinforce this positioning amid ratings of Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and others. While a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could challenge the outcome, such shifts face significant structural barriers in this battleground-resistant district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$105,411종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10, 2026, primary solidified his nomination in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at overwhelming odds for the November 3 general election. Kelly's historical margins—69.8% in 2024—and fundraising dominance, with over $826,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Cliff Johnson's $65,000, reinforce this positioning amid ratings of Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and others. While a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could challenge the outcome, such shifts face significant structural barriers in this battleground-resistant district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$105,411종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10, 2026, primary solidified his nomination in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at overwhelming odds for the November 3 general election. Kelly's historical margins—69.8% in 2024—and fundraising dominance, with over $826,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Cliff Johnson's $65,000, reinforce this positioning amid ratings of Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and others. While a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could challenge the outcome, such shifts face significant structural barriers in this battleground-resistant district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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