Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in Oregon's 1st Congressional District. The district's D+20 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance, including Bonamici's 68.6 percent margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The seat's location in the Portland suburbs and coastal areas reinforces structural advantages for the incumbent. While national political shifts or unexpected developments could theoretically influence turnout, the district's established voting patterns and Bonamici's incumbency create significant barriers to a Republican victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$8,263 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$1,174 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in Oregon's 1st Congressional District. The district's D+20 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance, including Bonamici's 68.6 percent margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The seat's location in the Portland suburbs and coastal areas reinforces structural advantages for the incumbent. While national political shifts or unexpected developments could theoretically influence turnout, the district's established voting patterns and Bonamici's incumbency create significant barriers to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$9,438종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in Oregon's 1st Congressional District. The district's D+20 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance, including Bonamici's 68.6 percent margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The seat's location in the Portland suburbs and coastal areas reinforces structural advantages for the incumbent. While national political shifts or unexpected developments could theoretically influence turnout, the district's established voting patterns and Bonamici's incumbency create significant barriers to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,438종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in Oregon's 1st Congressional District. The district's D+20 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance, including Bonamici's 68.6 percent margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The seat's location in the Portland suburbs and coastal areas reinforces structural advantages for the incumbent. While national political shifts or unexpected developments could theoretically influence turnout, the district's established voting patterns and Bonamici's incumbency create significant barriers to a Republican victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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