New Jersey's 6th congressional district carries a D+5 partisan voter index and delivered a 56.1% victory for Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage reflected in the 91.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Pallone, seeking a 19th full term, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, while the Republican nominee Hillary Herzig runs unopposed in her party's primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's registration edge and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments. A substantial national partisan swing, an unexpected primary outcome, or late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent could narrow the margin, though no such factors have materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,152 거래량
$15,152 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$15,152 거래량
$15,152 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,080 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$8,072 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 6th congressional district carries a D+5 partisan voter index and delivered a 56.1% victory for Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage reflected in the 91.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Pallone, seeking a 19th full term, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, while the Republican nominee Hillary Herzig runs unopposed in her party's primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's registration edge and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments. A substantial national partisan swing, an unexpected primary outcome, or late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent could narrow the margin, though no such factors have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$15,152종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 6th congressional district carries a D+5 partisan voter index and delivered a 56.1% victory for Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage reflected in the 91.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Pallone, seeking a 19th full term, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, while the Republican nominee Hillary Herzig runs unopposed in her party's primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's registration edge and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments. A substantial national partisan swing, an unexpected primary outcome, or late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent could narrow the margin, though no such factors have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,152종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 6th congressional district carries a D+5 partisan voter index and delivered a 56.1% victory for Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage reflected in the 91.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Pallone, seeking a 19th full term, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, while the Republican nominee Hillary Herzig runs unopposed in her party's primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's registration edge and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments. A substantial national partisan swing, an unexpected primary outcome, or late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent could narrow the margin, though no such factors have materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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