Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflected in the Republican Party’s 54% implied probability versus 29% for Democrats. The district carries an R+4 Partisan Voter Index and received Solid Republican or Likely Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. LaLota, who won 55% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrats confront a crowded June 23 primary featuring at least four candidates, which may delay consolidation ahead of the general election. No major developments have altered positioning in recent weeks, though the extended timeline to November leaves room for shifts from polling trends or campaign events.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,264 거래량
$20,264 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
64%
민주당
30%
$20,264 거래량
$20,264 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$6,351 거래량
64%
민주당
$13,913 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflected in the Republican Party’s 54% implied probability versus 29% for Democrats. The district carries an R+4 Partisan Voter Index and received Solid Republican or Likely Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. LaLota, who won 55% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrats confront a crowded June 23 primary featuring at least four candidates, which may delay consolidation ahead of the general election. No major developments have altered positioning in recent weeks, though the extended timeline to November leaves room for shifts from polling trends or campaign events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$20,264종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflected in the Republican Party’s 54% implied probability versus 29% for Democrats. The district carries an R+4 Partisan Voter Index and received Solid Republican or Likely Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. LaLota, who won 55% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrats confront a crowded June 23 primary featuring at least four candidates, which may delay consolidation ahead of the general election. No major developments have altered positioning in recent weeks, though the extended timeline to November leaves room for shifts from polling trends or campaign events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,264종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflected in the Republican Party’s 54% implied probability versus 29% for Democrats. The district carries an R+4 Partisan Voter Index and received Solid Republican or Likely Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. LaLota, who won 55% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrats confront a crowded June 23 primary featuring at least four candidates, which may delay consolidation ahead of the general election. No major developments have altered positioning in recent weeks, though the extended timeline to November leaves room for shifts from polling trends or campaign events.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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