Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural advantage in New York's 1st Congressional District, an R+4 seat on Long Island where he won reelection by double digits in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. The sole recent public poll, a December 2025 survey, showed LaLota ahead by three points. Democratic primary contenders remain largely untested at the congressional level, limiting immediate pressure on the Republican nominee. Trader consensus in the market reflects these baseline factors of incumbency, district partisanship, and early-cycle dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,506 거래량
$20,506 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
54%
민주당
22%
$20,506 거래량
$20,506 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$6,478 거래량
54%
민주당
$14,028 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural advantage in New York's 1st Congressional District, an R+4 seat on Long Island where he won reelection by double digits in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. The sole recent public poll, a December 2025 survey, showed LaLota ahead by three points. Democratic primary contenders remain largely untested at the congressional level, limiting immediate pressure on the Republican nominee. Trader consensus in the market reflects these baseline factors of incumbency, district partisanship, and early-cycle dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$20,506종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural advantage in New York's 1st Congressional District, an R+4 seat on Long Island where he won reelection by double digits in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. The sole recent public poll, a December 2025 survey, showed LaLota ahead by three points. Democratic primary contenders remain largely untested at the congressional level, limiting immediate pressure on the Republican nominee. Trader consensus in the market reflects these baseline factors of incumbency, district partisanship, and early-cycle dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,506종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural advantage in New York's 1st Congressional District, an R+4 seat on Long Island where he won reelection by double digits in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. The sole recent public poll, a December 2025 survey, showed LaLota ahead by three points. Democratic primary contenders remain largely untested at the congressional level, limiting immediate pressure on the Republican nominee. Trader consensus in the market reflects these baseline factors of incumbency, district partisanship, and early-cycle dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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