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Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

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Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

5% 確率
Polymarket

$37,931 Vol.

5% 確率
Polymarket

$37,931 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House narrowly 218-213 on February 11 after Rules Committee approval, but Senate progress has stalled amid unified Democratic opposition and filibuster threats. With Republicans holding a 53-47 majority, the 60-vote cloture threshold remains a formidable barrier, as seen in failed attempts to advance during the week of March 16, reinforced by recent letters from mayors and voting rights groups urging rejection. Traders' near-unanimous 96% "No" consensus reflects this procedural impasse and lack of bipartisan support, despite White House prioritization. Realistic shifts would require unlikely Democratic defections, a rules change, or attachment to must-pass legislation like a continuing resolution before session end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$37,931
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House narrowly 218-213 on February 11 after Rules Committee approval, but Senate progress has stalled amid unified Democratic opposition and filibuster threats. With Republicans holding a 53-47 majority, the 60-vote cloture threshold remains a formidable barrier, as seen in failed attempts to advance during the week of March 16, reinforced by recent letters from mayors and voting rights groups urging rejection. Traders' near-unanimous 96% "No" consensus reflects this procedural impasse and lack of bipartisan support, despite White House prioritization. Realistic shifts would require unlikely Democratic defections, a rules change, or attachment to must-pass legislation like a continuing resolution before session end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$37,931
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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