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トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?

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トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?

6% 確率
Polymarket
新規

$36,737 Vol.

6% 確率
Polymarket
新規

$36,737 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the critical legal barrier that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, not Woods' state-level Florida DUI charges from his March 27 rollover crash near Jupiter Island. Woods pleaded not guilty on March 31, faces up to one year in jail plus a new careless driving citation, and is pursuing treatment to avoid incarceration, echoing his 2017 DUI resolution via reckless driving plea. Viral fake Truth Social posts alleging Trump's clemency call were debunked, with no official White House comment amid Woods' injury-plagued form limiting recent PGA Tour starts and Masters prep. Absent unlikely federal involvement, odds reflect this structural impossibility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$36,737
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the critical legal barrier that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, not Woods' state-level Florida DUI charges from his March 27 rollover crash near Jupiter Island. Woods pleaded not guilty on March 31, faces up to one year in jail plus a new careless driving citation, and is pursuing treatment to avoid incarceration, echoing his 2017 DUI resolution via reckless driving plea. Viral fake Truth Social posts alleging Trump's clemency call were debunked, with no official White House comment amid Woods' injury-plagued form limiting recent PGA Tour starts and Masters prep. Absent unlikely federal involvement, odds reflect this structural impossibility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$36,737
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して6%です。例えば、「はい」が6¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を6%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」は$36.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して6%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を6%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。