Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the critical legal barrier that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, not Woods' state-level Florida DUI charges from his March 27 rollover crash near Jupiter Island. Woods pleaded not guilty on March 31, faces up to one year in jail plus a new careless driving citation, and is pursuing treatment to avoid incarceration, echoing his 2017 DUI resolution via reckless driving plea. Viral fake Truth Social posts alleging Trump's clemency call were debunked, with no official White House comment amid Woods' injury-plagued form limiting recent PGA Tour starts and Masters prep. Absent unlikely federal involvement, odds reflect this structural impossibility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$36,737 Vol.
$36,737 Vol.
$36,737 Vol.
$36,737 Vol.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability on a Trump pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the critical legal barrier that presidential pardons apply only to federal offenses, not Woods' state-level Florida DUI charges from his March 27 rollover crash near Jupiter Island. Woods pleaded not guilty on March 31, faces up to one year in jail plus a new careless driving citation, and is pursuing treatment to avoid incarceration, echoing his 2017 DUI resolution via reckless driving plea. Viral fake Truth Social posts alleging Trump's clemency call were debunked, with no official White House comment amid Woods' injury-plagued form limiting recent PGA Tour starts and Masters prep. Absent unlikely federal involvement, odds reflect this structural impossibility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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