The White House announcement on March 25 of President Trump's bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15 in Beijing, rescheduled after Iran conflict delays, has solidified trader consensus on U.S.-China diplomacy as a 2026 priority amid trade tensions, Taiwan disputes, and technology restrictions. Multilateral events like January's Davos World Economic Forum, February's Board of Peace gathering with allies including Argentina and Hungary, and March's Shield of the Americas Summit on Latin American security have set the stage for further bilaterals, boosting implied probabilities for leaders such as Brazilian President Lula da Silva, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Ongoing Ukraine negotiations elevate Vladimir Putin odds, while the market awaits official confirmations through December 31 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$275,219 Vol.
習近平
95%
ルラ・ダ・シルバ
82%
アフマド・アル＝シャラー
71%
ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
73%
キア・スターマー
69%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
64%
アレクサンドル・ルカシェンコ
56%
ローマ教皇レオ14世
38%
金正恩
22%
ニック・フエンテス
11%
チャンポン・ジャオ
22%
ニコラス・マドゥロ
16%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
10%
MrBeast
9%
iShowSpeed
8%
頼清徳
6%
ユン・ソクヨル
2%
$275,219 Vol.
習近平
95%
ルラ・ダ・シルバ
82%
アフマド・アル＝シャラー
71%
ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
73%
キア・スターマー
69%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
64%
アレクサンドル・ルカシェンコ
56%
ローマ教皇レオ14世
38%
金正恩
22%
ニック・フエンテス
11%
チャンポン・ジャオ
22%
ニコラス・マドゥロ
16%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
10%
MrBeast
9%
iShowSpeed
8%
頼清徳
6%
ユン・ソクヨル
2%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The White House announcement on March 25 of President Trump's bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15 in Beijing, rescheduled after Iran conflict delays, has solidified trader consensus on U.S.-China diplomacy as a 2026 priority amid trade tensions, Taiwan disputes, and technology restrictions. Multilateral events like January's Davos World Economic Forum, February's Board of Peace gathering with allies including Argentina and Hungary, and March's Shield of the Americas Summit on Latin American security have set the stage for further bilaterals, boosting implied probabilities for leaders such as Brazilian President Lula da Silva, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Ongoing Ukraine negotiations elevate Vladimir Putin odds, while the market awaits official confirmations through December 31 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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