Market icon

一般教書演説には誰が出席しますか?

Market icon

一般教書演説には誰が出席しますか?

$7,885,629 Vol.

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$7,885,629 Vol.

Polymarket

ジャレッド・クシュナー

$20,694 Vol.

はい

ニッキー・ミナージュ

$54,699 Vol.

いいえ

イーロン・マスク

$54,389 Vol.

いいえ

ダナ・ホワイト

$40,190 Vol.

いいえ

エリカ・カーク

$65,662 Vol.

はい

ニック・シャーリー

$6,601,495 Vol.

はい

アル・グリーン

$47,142 Vol.

はい

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス

$31,987 Vol.

いいえ

マーク・ザッカーバーグ

$10,799 Vol.

いいえ

タッカー・カールソン

$87,083 Vol.

いいえ

ジェンスン・フアン

$24,279 Vol.

いいえ

ジェフ・ベゾス

$7,271 Vol.

いいえ

ジャンニ・インファンティーノ

$56,553 Vol.

いいえ

スコット・ベセント

$16,370 Vol.

はい

ジョン・フェッターマン

$9,992 Vol.

はい

ピート・ヘグセス

$6,316 Vol.

はい

スーザン・コリンズ

$13,031 Vol.

はい

クリスティ・ノーム

$9,560 Vol.

はい

ナンシー・ペロシ

$24,657 Vol.

はい

ダグ・バーガム

$6,479 Vol.

はい

ジョン・オソフ

$9,068 Vol.

はい

ブルック・ローリンズ

$6,925 Vol.

はい

クリス・ライト

$5,263 Vol.

はい

イヴァンカ・トランプ

$15,742 Vol.

はい

ミッチ・マコーネル

$10,417 Vol.

いいえ

カシュ・パテル

$46,957 Vol.

いいえ

ニール・ゴーサッチ

$8,655 Vol.

いいえ

クリス・マーフィー

$3,835 Vol.

いいえ

アンソニー・ケネディ

$18,306 Vol.

いいえ

バロン・トランプ

$51,277 Vol.

はい

イルハン・オマル

$57,265 Vol.

はい

ケタンジ・ブラウン・ジャクソン

$17,753 Vol.

いいえ

ケビン・ウォーシュ

$2,200 Vol.

いいえ

ジョージ・サントス

$149,782 Vol.

いいえ

マリア・コリナ・マチャド

$61,486 Vol.

いいえ

デヴィッド・エリソン

$6,744 Vol.

はい

ブリリン・ホリーハンド

$3,198 Vol.

いいえ

ヴィクトル・オルバン

$5,302 Vol.

いいえ

ギャビン・ニューサム

$7,109 Vol.

いいえ

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

$9,195 Vol.

いいえ

デルシー・ロドリゲス

$17,026 Vol.

いいえ

ジュディ・シェルトン

$140,752 Vol.

いいえ

ブレット・M・カバノー

$8,785 Vol.

はい

エイミー・コニー・バレット

$5,864 Vol.

はい

サミュエル・A・アリート

$4,853 Vol.

いいえ

ジョン・G・ロバーツ

$7,548 Vol.

はい

クラレンス・トーマス

$5,210 Vol.

いいえ

ソニア・ソトマイヨール

$6,169 Vol.

いいえ

エレナ・ケーガン

$4,292 Vol.

はい

The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to be held in the Chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives on February 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 State of the Union address. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, attending the State of the Union address is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$7,885,629
終了日
Feb 24, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to be held in the Chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 State of the Union address. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the State of the Union address is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"一般教書演説には誰が出席しますか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 49+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ジャレッド・クシュナー" at 100%, followed by "エリカ・カーク" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "一般教書演説には誰が出席しますか?" has generated $7.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "一般教書演説には誰が出席しますか?," browse the 49+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "一般教書演説には誰が出席しますか?" is "ジャレッド・クシュナー" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "エリカ・カーク" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "一般教書演説には誰が出席しますか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.