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2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか?

Market icon

2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか?

12月 31

12月 31

$354,480 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$354,480 Vol.

Polymarket

ソマリランド

$44,926 Vol.

28%

レバノン

$5,764 Vol.

23%

サウジアラビア

$63,271 Vol.

22%

アゼルバイジャン

$28,334 Vol.

25%

シリア

$110,486 Vol.

22%

オマーン

$100,640 Vol.

15%

クウェート

$1,060 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's formal entry into the Abraham Accords in early 2026, following its November 2025 announcement, has revived expansion momentum under the second Trump administration, bolstered by the October 2025 Gaza ceasefire and recent U.S. strikes degrading Iran's regional influence. Somaliland leads trader consensus at 28% implied probability after pledging accession in December 2025 upon Israeli recognition, though formal signing awaits. Saudi Arabia trails closely at 25%, fueled by President Trump's appeals to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman four days ago for normalization amid defense-tech corridor talks. Azerbaijan (26%) benefits from Netanyahu's planned Baku visit, while Oman (15%) and Kuwait (18%) face hurdles from Arab League pressures, as seen in yesterday's joint statement by Saudi, Qatar, and others. Upcoming summits and security pacts could shift odds before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$354,480
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's formal entry into the Abraham Accords in early 2026, following its November 2025 announcement, has revived expansion momentum under the second Trump administration, bolstered by the October 2025 Gaza ceasefire and recent U.S. strikes degrading Iran's regional influence. Somaliland leads trader consensus at 28% implied probability after pledging accession in December 2025 upon Israeli recognition, though formal signing awaits. Saudi Arabia trails closely at 25%, fueled by President Trump's appeals to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman four days ago for normalization amid defense-tech corridor talks. Azerbaijan (26%) benefits from Netanyahu's planned Baku visit, while Oman (15%) and Kuwait (18%) face hurdles from Arab League pressures, as seen in yesterday's joint statement by Saudi, Qatar, and others. Upcoming summits and security pacts could shift odds before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$354,480
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ソマリランド」で28%、次いで「アゼルバイジャン」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか?」は$354.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ソマリランド」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アゼルバイジャン」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。