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icon for 2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？
政治·中東

2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？

icon for 2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？
政治·中東

2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$1,641,209 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$1,641,209 Vol.

Polymarket

クウェート

$71,105 Vol.

9%

レバノン

$76,888 Vol.

8%

ソマリランド

$116,845 Vol.

8%

Egypt

$7,393 Vol.

7%

シリア

$164,512 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$9,893 Vol.

7%

サウジアラビア

$331,165 Vol.

7%

Qatar

$8,773 Vol.

5%

アゼルバイジャン

$175,715 Vol.

5%

オマーン

$182,106 Vol.

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 Vol.

3%

Turkey

$487,763 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Recent statements from Israel's ambassador to the UAE on September 15, 2026, highlight Kuwait as a leading near-term candidate, citing Iranian attacks on the Gulf state and estimating a possible accession within four to six months.** This aligns with ongoing U.S. and Israeli outreach to expand the accords framework beyond current signatories such as the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan, and Kazakhstan (which joined in November 2025). Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile prospect but faces structural hurdles, including Riyadh's insistence on a credible path to Palestinian statehood and the linkage of any U.S. civil nuclear cooperation deal to normalization. Other tracked possibilities, including Somaliland, Oman, Lebanon, Syria, and Azerbaijan, encounter domestic political constraints, security concerns, or limited diplomatic momentum in the short window before December 31, 2026. Trader pricing reflects these timelines and conditions, with limited scheduled events likely to shift probabilities before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,641,209
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Recent statements from Israel's ambassador to the UAE on September 15, 2026, highlight Kuwait as a leading near-term candidate, citing Iranian attacks on the Gulf state and estimating a possible accession within four to six months.** This aligns with ongoing U.S. and Israeli outreach to expand the accords framework beyond current signatories such as the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan, and Kazakhstan (which joined in November 2025). Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile prospect but faces structural hurdles, including Riyadh's insistence on a credible path to Palestinian statehood and the linkage of any U.S. civil nuclear cooperation deal to normalization. Other tracked possibilities, including Somaliland, Oman, Lebanon, Syria, and Azerbaijan, encounter domestic political constraints, security concerns, or limited diplomatic momentum in the short window before December 31, 2026. Trader pricing reflects these timelines and conditions, with limited scheduled events likely to shift probabilities before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,641,209
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「クウェート」で9%、次いで「レバノン」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」は$1.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」の現在のリーダーは「クウェート」でわずか9%、「レバノン」が8%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。