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コロンビア下院選挙の勝者

Market icon

コロンビア下院選挙の勝者

コロンビア歴史的協定(PH) 100.0%

コロンビア保守党(保守党) <1%

コロンビア自由党(PLC) <1%

グリーンアライアンス <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

コロンビア歴史的協定(PH) 100.0%

コロンビア保守党(保守党) <1%

コロンビア自由党(PLC) <1%

グリーンアライアンス <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

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コロンビア歴史的協定(PH)

$0 Vol.

はい

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コロンビア保守党(保守党)

$0 Vol.

いいえ

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コロンビア自由党(PLC)

$0 Vol.

いいえ

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グリーンアライアンス

$0 Vol.

いいえ

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セントロ・デモクラティコ (CD)

$0 Vol.

いいえ

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カンビオ・ラディカル(CR)

$0 Vol.

いいえ

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ラ・ウ党(Partido de la U)

$0 Vol.

いいえ

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MIRA‑CJL連合(MIRA‑CJL)

$0 Vol.

いいえ

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives. If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Official results from Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, certified by the National Electoral Council, confirm Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) as the winner with the plurality of seats under the country's proportional representation system, propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability. In the March 2022 congressional vote—still defining the current Congress—PH outperformed rivals including Partido Liberal Colombiano, Centro Democrático, Green Alliance, Cambio Radical, Partido de la U, and MIRA-CJL coalition amid fragmented opposition. No recounts, legal challenges, or no-confidence motions have materialized in recent months to alter seat counts. While procedural disputes or arithmetic revisions remain theoretically possible, historical precedents show such reversals are exceedingly rare post-certification.

Official results from Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, certified by the National Electoral Council, confirm Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) as the winner with the plurality of seats under the country's proportional representation system, propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability. In the March 2022 congressional vote—still defining the current Congress—PH outperformed rivals including Partido Liberal Colombiano, Centro Democrático, Green Alliance, Cambio Radical, Partido de la U, and MIRA-CJL coalition amid fragmented opposition. No recounts, legal challenges, or no-confidence motions have materialized in recent months to alter seat counts. While procedural disputes or arithmetic revisions remain theoretically possible, historical precedents show such reversals are exceedingly rare post-certification.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives. If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Official results from Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, certified by the National Electoral Council, confirm Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) as the winner with the plurality of seats under the country's proportional representation system, propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability. In the March 2022 congressional vote—still defining the current Congress—PH outperformed rivals including Partido Liberal Colombiano, Centro Democrático, Green Alliance, Cambio Radical, Partido de la U, and MIRA-CJL coalition amid fragmented opposition. No recounts, legal challenges, or no-confidence motions have materialized in recent months to alter seat counts. While procedural disputes or arithmetic revisions remain theoretically possible, historical precedents show such reversals are exceedingly rare post-certification.

Official results from Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, certified by the National Electoral Council, confirm Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) as the winner with the plurality of seats under the country's proportional representation system, propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability. In the March 2022 congressional vote—still defining the current Congress—PH outperformed rivals including Partido Liberal Colombiano, Centro Democrático, Green Alliance, Cambio Radical, Partido de la U, and MIRA-CJL coalition amid fragmented opposition. No recounts, legal challenges, or no-confidence motions have materialized in recent months to alter seat counts. While procedural disputes or arithmetic revisions remain theoretically possible, historical precedents show such reversals are exceedingly rare post-certification.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「コロンビア下院選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「コロンビア歴史的協定(PH)」で100%、次いで「コロンビア保守党(保守党)」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「コロンビア下院選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 29, 2025開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「コロンビア下院選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「コロンビア下院選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「コロンビア歴史的協定(PH)」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「コロンビア保守党(保守党)」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「コロンビア下院選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。