Strong spring break travel demand has positioned the 2.8M-3.0M range as the leading outcome at 74.5% trader consensus on Polymarket, reflecting sustained high TSA checkpoint throughput amid peak vacation season. Recent records, including 2.96 million screenings on March 16 and steady volumes above 2.4 million through March 19, support expectations of continued elevated air travel, bolstered by favorable weather forecasts and no major disruptions like strikes or cancellations. The nearby 3.0M-3.2M bucket at 26.9% captures upside potential from weekend rebound patterns, while lower ranges fade given post-COVID recovery trends and year-over-year gains exceeding 10% for comparable dates. Upcoming Easter timing adds minor tailwind uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.8M-3.0M 60%
2.4M-2.6M 3.8%
2.6M-2.8M 1%
<2.4M <1%
$4,814 Vol.
$4,814 Vol.
<2.4M
<1%
2.4M-2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
21%
2.8M-3.0M
75%
3.0M-3.2M
26%
>3.2M
<1%
2.8M-3.0M 60%
2.4M-2.6M 3.8%
2.6M-2.8M 1%
<2.4M <1%
$4,814 Vol.
$4,814 Vol.
<2.4M
<1%
2.4M-2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
21%
2.8M-3.0M
75%
3.0M-3.2M
26%
>3.2M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong spring break travel demand has positioned the 2.8M-3.0M range as the leading outcome at 74.5% trader consensus on Polymarket, reflecting sustained high TSA checkpoint throughput amid peak vacation season. Recent records, including 2.96 million screenings on March 16 and steady volumes above 2.4 million through March 19, support expectations of continued elevated air travel, bolstered by favorable weather forecasts and no major disruptions like strikes or cancellations. The nearby 3.0M-3.2M bucket at 26.9% captures upside potential from weekend rebound patterns, while lower ranges fade given post-COVID recovery trends and year-over-year gains exceeding 10% for comparable dates. Upcoming Easter timing adds minor tailwind uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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