Trader consensus heavily favors 2.4 million to 2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers on March 21, reflecting recent spring break-driven surges in air travel volume. Daily throughput hit 2.40 million on March 19 and peaked at 2.58 million on March 20, aligning with seasonal patterns where Thursdays average near 2.5 million amid post-winter recovery to 90% of 2019 levels. Lower odds for sub-2.4 million stem from occasional weather disruptions, while upside bins like 2.6 million-2.8 million capture tail risks from extended holiday travel. No major cancellations or economic shifts reported, with official TSA data release pending to resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.4M-2.6M 87%
<2.4M 19%
2.6M-2.8M 11%
2.8M-3.0M 1.7%
$2,661 Vol.
$2,661 Vol.
<2.4M
11%
2.4M-2.6M
87%
2.6M-2.8M
14%
2.8M-3.0M
2%
3.0M-3.2M
1%
>3.2M
<1%
2.4M-2.6M 87%
<2.4M 19%
2.6M-2.8M 11%
2.8M-3.0M 1.7%
$2,661 Vol.
$2,661 Vol.
<2.4M
11%
2.4M-2.6M
87%
2.6M-2.8M
14%
2.8M-3.0M
2%
3.0M-3.2M
1%
>3.2M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 2.4 million to 2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers on March 21, reflecting recent spring break-driven surges in air travel volume. Daily throughput hit 2.40 million on March 19 and peaked at 2.58 million on March 20, aligning with seasonal patterns where Thursdays average near 2.5 million amid post-winter recovery to 90% of 2019 levels. Lower odds for sub-2.4 million stem from occasional weather disruptions, while upside bins like 2.6 million-2.8 million capture tail risks from extended holiday travel. No major cancellations or economic shifts reported, with official TSA data release pending to resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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