Trader consensus on TSA passenger screenings for March 22 heavily favors the 2.7M-2.9M range at 68.5%, reflecting sustained spring break travel demand after March 21's 2.79 million passengers, the highest Thursday in 2024. Prior days showed steady volume—2.68 million on March 20 and 2.55 million on March 19—amid favorable weather and no major airline disruptions or strikes. The adjacent 2.9M-3.1M bin at 30.5% captures upside from Friday peak travel patterns, while lower outcomes fade due to post-winter surge exceeding early March averages around 2.4 million. Official TSA data release expected soon could confirm or shift these skin-in-the-game probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.7M-2.9M 69%
2.9M-3.1M 31%
2.5M-2.7M 2.3%
3.1M-3.3M 1.3%
<2.5M
1%
2.5M-2.7M
2%
2.7M-2.9M
69%
2.9M-3.1M
31%
3.1M-3.3M
1%
>3.3M
<1%
2.7M-2.9M 69%
2.9M-3.1M 31%
2.5M-2.7M 2.3%
3.1M-3.3M 1.3%
<2.5M
1%
2.5M-2.7M
2%
2.7M-2.9M
69%
2.9M-3.1M
31%
3.1M-3.3M
1%
>3.3M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 5:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on TSA passenger screenings for March 22 heavily favors the 2.7M-2.9M range at 68.5%, reflecting sustained spring break travel demand after March 21's 2.79 million passengers, the highest Thursday in 2024. Prior days showed steady volume—2.68 million on March 20 and 2.55 million on March 19—amid favorable weather and no major airline disruptions or strikes. The adjacent 2.9M-3.1M bin at 30.5% captures upside from Friday peak travel patterns, while lower outcomes fade due to post-winter surge exceeding early March averages around 2.4 million. Official TSA data release expected soon could confirm or shift these skin-in-the-game probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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