Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts on March 8, 2026, following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israel airstrikes, has made no verified public appearance amid the escalating Iran-Israel conflict, fueling trader uncertainty despite official statements attributing his absence to security protocols. Iranian state media has aired only archival footage of him lecturing on Shia theology and broadcast written messages, such as thanks to Iraq's Grand Ayatollah Sistani, while denying unconfirmed rumors of injury or health issues from the strikes. With no live address or sighting in over three weeks, traders monitor for any diplomatic summits, state TV broadcasts, or ceasefire negotiations that could prompt his debut, as visual confirmation remains the key resolution trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$722,988 Vol.
2026/03/31
3月31日
1%
April 30
23%
5月31日
36%
$722,988 Vol.
3月31日
$587,639 Vol.
1%
April 30
$130,227 Vol.
23%
5月31日
$5,122 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts on March 8, 2026, following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israel airstrikes, has made no verified public appearance amid the escalating Iran-Israel conflict, fueling trader uncertainty despite official statements attributing his absence to security protocols. Iranian state media has aired only archival footage of him lecturing on Shia theology and broadcast written messages, such as thanks to Iraq's Grand Ayatollah Sistani, while denying unconfirmed rumors of injury or health issues from the strikes. With no live address or sighting in over three weeks, traders monitor for any diplomatic summits, state TV broadcasts, or ceasefire negotiations that could prompt his debut, as visual confirmation remains the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
音量
$722,988終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts on March 8, 2026, following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israel airstrikes, has made no verified public appearance amid the escalating Iran-Israel conflict, fueling trader uncertainty despite official statements attributing his absence to security protocols. Iranian state media has aired only archival footage of him lecturing on Shia theology and broadcast written messages, such as thanks to Iraq's Grand Ayatollah Sistani, while denying unconfirmed rumors of injury or health issues from the strikes. With no live address or sighting in over three weeks, traders monitor for any diplomatic summits, state TV broadcasts, or ceasefire negotiations that could prompt his debut, as visual confirmation remains the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
音量
$722,988終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts on March 8, 2026, following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israel airstrikes, has made no verified public appearance amid the escalating Iran-Israel conflict, fueling trader uncertainty despite official statements attributing his absence to security protocols. Iranian state media has aired only archival footage of him lecturing on Shia theology and broadcast written messages, such as thanks to Iraq's Grand Ayatollah Sistani, while denying unconfirmed rumors of injury or health issues from the strikes. With no live address or sighting in over three weeks, traders monitor for any diplomatic summits, state TV broadcasts, or ceasefire negotiations that could prompt his debut, as visual confirmation remains the key resolution trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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