Since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes, son Mojtaba Khamenei was named Supreme Leader on March 8, yet he has made no live public appearance or new personal media amid escalating Iran-US-Israel conflict, driving low trader consensus on near-term visibility. Iranian state TV has aired only archival footage of him lecturing and read written statements calling for resistance, while crowds awaited a promised live address that delivered a framed photo instead. US officials claim possible injury or disfigurement; Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Iran avoiding appearances for security reasons. Odds reflect uncertainty, with potential shifts from regime broadcasts, diplomatic talks, or battlefield de-escalation before April's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$755,513 Vol.
2026/03/31
3月31日
<1%
April 30
23%
5月31日
39%
$755,513 Vol.
3月31日
$615,801 Vol.
<1%
April 30
$131,614 Vol.
23%
5月31日
$8,098 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes, son Mojtaba Khamenei was named Supreme Leader on March 8, yet he has made no live public appearance or new personal media amid escalating Iran-US-Israel conflict, driving low trader consensus on near-term visibility. Iranian state TV has aired only archival footage of him lecturing and read written statements calling for resistance, while crowds awaited a promised live address that delivered a framed photo instead. US officials claim possible injury or disfigurement; Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Iran avoiding appearances for security reasons. Odds reflect uncertainty, with potential shifts from regime broadcasts, diplomatic talks, or battlefield de-escalation before April's end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
音量
$755,513終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes, son Mojtaba Khamenei was named Supreme Leader on March 8, yet he has made no live public appearance or new personal media amid escalating Iran-US-Israel conflict, driving low trader consensus on near-term visibility. Iranian state TV has aired only archival footage of him lecturing and read written statements calling for resistance, while crowds awaited a promised live address that delivered a framed photo instead. US officials claim possible injury or disfigurement; Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Iran avoiding appearances for security reasons. Odds reflect uncertainty, with potential shifts from regime broadcasts, diplomatic talks, or battlefield de-escalation before April's end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
音量
$755,513終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes, son Mojtaba Khamenei was named Supreme Leader on March 8, yet he has made no live public appearance or new personal media amid escalating Iran-US-Israel conflict, driving low trader consensus on near-term visibility. Iranian state TV has aired only archival footage of him lecturing and read written statements calling for resistance, while crowds awaited a promised live address that delivered a framed photo instead. US officials claim possible injury or disfigurement; Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Iran avoiding appearances for security reasons. Odds reflect uncertainty, with potential shifts from regime broadcasts, diplomatic talks, or battlefield de-escalation before April's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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