Traders heavily favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 73.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS projecting 155-170 seats for AITC versus 100-115 for BJP amid a tight 43-45% to 41-43% vote share race. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional strongholds in South 24 Parganas and Hooghly bolster AITC despite anti-incumbency sentiment and BJP's demographic shift narrative. BJP released its first 144-candidate list on March 16, fielding Suvendu Adhikari against Banerjee in Bhabanipur, while AITC incorporates religious appeals into its campaign. With polling set for April 23 and 29 across 294 first-past-the-post seats, results due May 4, minor parties like CPI(M) and INC trail due to fragmented opposition votes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日AITC 74%
BJP 26%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$72,245 Vol.
$72,245 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
AITC
74%
BJP
26%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
インド国民会議（INC）
<1%
BGPM
<1%
AITC 74%
BJP 26%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$72,245 Vol.
$72,245 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
AITC
$27,566 Vol.
74%
BJP
$25,037 Vol.
26%
CPI
$0 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$0 Vol.
<1%
インド国民会議（INC）
$19,642 Vol.
<1%
BGPM
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders heavily favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 73.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS projecting 155-170 seats for AITC versus 100-115 for BJP amid a tight 43-45% to 41-43% vote share race. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional strongholds in South 24 Parganas and Hooghly bolster AITC despite anti-incumbency sentiment and BJP's demographic shift narrative. BJP released its first 144-candidate list on March 16, fielding Suvendu Adhikari against Banerjee in Bhabanipur, while AITC incorporates religious appeals into its campaign. With polling set for April 23 and 29 across 294 first-past-the-post seats, results due May 4, minor parties like CPI(M) and INC trail due to fragmented opposition votes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
音量
$72,245終了日
Apr 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders heavily favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 73.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS projecting 155-170 seats for AITC versus 100-115 for BJP amid a tight 43-45% to 41-43% vote share race. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional strongholds in South 24 Parganas and Hooghly bolster AITC despite anti-incumbency sentiment and BJP's demographic shift narrative. BJP released its first 144-candidate list on March 16, fielding Suvendu Adhikari against Banerjee in Bhabanipur, while AITC incorporates religious appeals into its campaign. With polling set for April 23 and 29 across 294 first-past-the-post seats, results due May 4, minor parties like CPI(M) and INC trail due to fragmented opposition votes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
音量
$72,245終了日
Apr 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 73.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS projecting 155-170 seats for AITC versus 100-115 for BJP amid a tight 43-45% to 41-43% vote share race. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional strongholds in South 24 Parganas and Hooghly bolster AITC despite anti-incumbency sentiment and BJP's demographic shift narrative. BJP released its first 144-candidate list on March 16, fielding Suvendu Adhikari against Banerjee in Bhabanipur, while AITC incorporates religious appeals into its campaign. With polling set for April 23 and 29 across 294 first-past-the-post seats, results due May 4, minor parties like CPI(M) and INC trail due to fragmented opposition votes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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