Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Péter Magyar at 66.5% to become Hungary's next prime minister following the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, driven by Tisza party's widening polling lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz in recent independent surveys, including a Reuters-reported expansion four days ago amid economic stagnation and public discontent. Rival mass rallies in Budapest on March 15-16 showcased Magyar's mobilization prowess, contrasting Orbán's focus on Ukraine tensions and EU friction, bolstering opposition momentum. Hungary's mixed electoral system, with single-member districts and proportional lists, amplifies Tisza's double-digit national advantages, though Fidesz's incumbency and institutional edges keep Orbán viable at 33.5%; minor candidates trail due to negligible support. Markets await final campaigning and turnout in this closely watched contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ペーター・マジャール 67%
ヴィクトル・オルバン 34%
イシュトヴァーン・カピターニ <1%
ラースロー・トロチュカイ <1%
$38,875,774 Vol.
$38,875,774 Vol.
ペーター・マジャール
67%
ヴィクトル・オルバン
34%
イシュトヴァーン・カピターニ
<1%
ラースロー・トロチュカイ
<1%
ヤーノシュ・ラザール
<1%
クララ・ドブレフ
<1%
ペーター・マジャール 67%
ヴィクトル・オルバン 34%
イシュトヴァーン・カピターニ <1%
ラースロー・トロチュカイ <1%
$38,875,774 Vol.
$38,875,774 Vol.
ペーター・マジャール
67%
ヴィクトル・オルバン
34%
イシュトヴァーン・カピターニ
<1%
ラースロー・トロチュカイ
<1%
ヤーノシュ・ラザール
<1%
クララ・ドブレフ
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Péter Magyar at 66.5% to become Hungary's next prime minister following the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, driven by Tisza party's widening polling lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz in recent independent surveys, including a Reuters-reported expansion four days ago amid economic stagnation and public discontent. Rival mass rallies in Budapest on March 15-16 showcased Magyar's mobilization prowess, contrasting Orbán's focus on Ukraine tensions and EU friction, bolstering opposition momentum. Hungary's mixed electoral system, with single-member districts and proportional lists, amplifies Tisza's double-digit national advantages, though Fidesz's incumbency and institutional edges keep Orbán viable at 33.5%; minor candidates trail due to negligible support. Markets await final campaigning and turnout in this closely watched contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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