Market icon

2026年にトランプ氏は何枚のゴールドカードを販売しますか?

Market icon

2026年にトランプ氏は何枚のゴールドカードを販売しますか?

0 21%

1~100 18.6%

2,500~5,000 11.8%

1,000~2,500 9.8%

Polymarket

$36,347 Vol.

0 21%

1~100 18.6%

2,500~5,000 11.8%

1,000~2,500 9.8%

Polymarket

$36,347 Vol.

0

$18,669 Vol.

21%

1~100

$7,250 Vol.

19%

101〜1,000

$4,097 Vol.

4%

1,000~2,500

$0 Vol.

10%

2,500~5,000

$0 Vol.

12%

5千〜1万

$0 Vol.

6%

1万~2万5千枚

$0 Vol.

9%

25,000〜100,000

$0 Vol.

8%

>10万

$6,331 Vol.

6%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$36,347
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年にトランプ氏は何枚のゴールドカードを販売しますか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0" at 21%, followed by "1~100" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年にトランプ氏は何枚のゴールドカードを販売しますか?" has generated $36.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年にトランプ氏は何枚のゴールドカードを販売しますか?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年にトランプ氏は何枚のゴールドカードを販売しますか?" is "0" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1~100" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年にトランプ氏は何枚のゴールドカードを販売しますか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.