Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, leaves just over two months to establish and operationalize a new "gold card" visa program—replacing the EB-5 pathway for wealthy investors seeking green cards—rendering issuance by March 31 logistically improbable, as trader consensus reflects at 99.4% odds of "No." Launching such an initiative demands executive orders, DHS regulations, USCIS form creation, and vetting processes that historically span months or years, with no official announcements signaling acceleration. Recent proposals from Trump highlight the concept to fund debt reduction via $5 million cards, but absent fast-tracked approvals, standard bureaucracy prevails. A surprise post-inauguration order with expedited processing remains a slim, unproven outlier scenario.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$192,362 Vol.
$192,362 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$192,362 Vol.
$192,362 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ET
音量
$192,362終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$192,362終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, leaves just over two months to establish and operationalize a new "gold card" visa program—replacing the EB-5 pathway for wealthy investors seeking green cards—rendering issuance by March 31 logistically improbable, as trader consensus reflects at 99.4% odds of "No." Launching such an initiative demands executive orders, DHS regulations, USCIS form creation, and vetting processes that historically span months or years, with no official announcements signaling acceleration. Recent proposals from Trump highlight the concept to fund debt reduction via $5 million cards, but absent fast-tracked approvals, standard bureaucracy prevails. A surprise post-inauguration order with expedited processing remains a slim, unproven outlier scenario.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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