Trader consensus prices a Trump Gold Card issuance at just 0.6% by March 31, driven by the infeasible timeline following his January 20 inauguration—only about 70 days to establish a new $5 million investor visa program amid competing priorities like border enforcement. No official announcements or executive actions have advanced the campaign proposal, which would require congressional authorization or lengthy DHS rulemaking for a novel residency pathway. Historical precedents, such as EB-5 expansions, took years. Realistic shifts could stem from an abrupt policy pivot or redefinition of "issuance" as mere announcement, though administrative realities sustain near-certain No odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$192,362 Vol.
$192,362 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$192,362 Vol.
$192,362 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ET
音量
$192,362終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$192,362終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Trump Gold Card issuance at just 0.6% by March 31, driven by the infeasible timeline following his January 20 inauguration—only about 70 days to establish a new $5 million investor visa program amid competing priorities like border enforcement. No official announcements or executive actions have advanced the campaign proposal, which would require congressional authorization or lengthy DHS rulemaking for a novel residency pathway. Historical precedents, such as EB-5 expansions, took years. Realistic shifts could stem from an abrupt policy pivot or redefinition of "issuance" as mere announcement, though administrative realities sustain near-certain No odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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