Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) highs clustering around 56-59°F on April 5 amid a spread driven by variable marine layer persistence. Recent developments include a mild post-winter pattern following March's record warmth across the West, featuring a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest that could enhance downslope warming and mixing, potentially pushing temperatures into the 58-59°F bin if low stratus clears early. However, onshore flow risks trapping cool, moist Puget Sound air, favoring 55°F or below. April climatology averages 57°F highs, underscoring the tight race; watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs and NWS updates for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
55°F or below 50%
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 24%
58-59°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
55°F or below
26%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
12%
74°F or higher
2%
55°F or below 50%
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 24%
58-59°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
26%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
17%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
17%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
27%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
17%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
17%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
17%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
12%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) highs clustering around 56-59°F on April 5 amid a spread driven by variable marine layer persistence. Recent developments include a mild post-winter pattern following March's record warmth across the West, featuring a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest that could enhance downslope warming and mixing, potentially pushing temperatures into the 58-59°F bin if low stratus clears early. However, onshore flow risks trapping cool, moist Puget Sound air, favoring 55°F or below. April climatology averages 57°F highs, underscoring the tight race; watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs and NWS updates for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) highs clustering around 56-59°F on April 5 amid a spread driven by variable marine layer persistence. Recent developments include a mild post-winter pattern following March's record warmth across the West, featuring a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest that could enhance downslope warming and mixing, potentially pushing temperatures into the 58-59°F bin if low stratus clears early. However, onshore flow risks trapping cool, moist Puget Sound air, favoring 55°F or below. April climatology averages 57°F highs, underscoring the tight race; watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs and NWS updates for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) highs clustering around 56-59°F on April 5 amid a spread driven by variable marine layer persistence. Recent developments include a mild post-winter pattern following March's record warmth across the West, featuring a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest that could enhance downslope warming and mixing, potentially pushing temperatures into the 58-59°F bin if low stratus clears early. However, onshore flow risks trapping cool, moist Puget Sound air, favoring 55°F or below. April climatology averages 57°F highs, underscoring the tight race; watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs and NWS updates for resolution shifts.
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