Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON models project a high temperature near 21°C at Munich Airport on April 5, fueling trader sentiment with 21°C (25%) and 22°C (22%) as frontrunners after cooler early-week highs around 13°C amid overcast conditions. This warm-up reflects a shift to milder southerly flows and high-pressure influence, contrasting April climatological averages of 12-14°C. Close probabilities across 19-23°C stem from 2-4°C spreads in model ensembles, sensitive to cloud cover variability, boundary layer mixing, and peak heating timing. New forecast runs expected today and tomorrow from the Deutscher Wetterdienst could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 25%
22°C 21%
23°C 16%
19°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
15%
21°C
25%
22°C
21%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
10%
21°C 25%
22°C 21%
23°C 16%
19°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
14°C or below
$613 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$291 Vol.
1%
17°C
$284 Vol.
3%
18°C
$588 Vol.
5%
19°C
$450 Vol.
16%
20°C
$595 Vol.
15%
21°C
$637 Vol.
25%
22°C
$1,245 Vol.
21%
23°C
$598 Vol.
16%
24°C or higher
$533 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON models project a high temperature near 21°C at Munich Airport on April 5, fueling trader sentiment with 21°C (25%) and 22°C (22%) as frontrunners after cooler early-week highs around 13°C amid overcast conditions. This warm-up reflects a shift to milder southerly flows and high-pressure influence, contrasting April climatological averages of 12-14°C. Close probabilities across 19-23°C stem from 2-4°C spreads in model ensembles, sensitive to cloud cover variability, boundary layer mixing, and peak heating timing. New forecast runs expected today and tomorrow from the Deutscher Wetterdienst could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$6,233終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON models project a high temperature near 21°C at Munich Airport on April 5, fueling trader sentiment with 21°C (25%) and 22°C (22%) as frontrunners after cooler early-week highs around 13°C amid overcast conditions. This warm-up reflects a shift to milder southerly flows and high-pressure influence, contrasting April climatological averages of 12-14°C. Close probabilities across 19-23°C stem from 2-4°C spreads in model ensembles, sensitive to cloud cover variability, boundary layer mixing, and peak heating timing. New forecast runs expected today and tomorrow from the Deutscher Wetterdienst could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,233終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON models project a high temperature near 21°C at Munich Airport on April 5, fueling trader sentiment with 21°C (25%) and 22°C (22%) as frontrunners after cooler early-week highs around 13°C amid overcast conditions. This warm-up reflects a shift to milder southerly flows and high-pressure influence, contrasting April climatological averages of 12-14°C. Close probabilities across 19-23°C stem from 2-4°C spreads in model ensembles, sensitive to cloud cover variability, boundary layer mixing, and peak heating timing. New forecast runs expected today and tomorrow from the Deutscher Wetterdienst could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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