Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 7, with even 25.5% implied probabilities across -1°C to 8°C outcomes driven by divergent short-range forecast models amid transitional spring conditions. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance points to a daytime peak near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% precipitation odds early, influenced by low-pressure systems over the Norwegian Sea fostering cloud cover and cool southerly winds at 3 m/s. However, ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight risks of cooler maxima if persistent cloudiness or cold air advection dominates, contrasting historical early-April averages of 5–7°C following Finland's record-warm March. Key differentiators include frontal timing and clearing extent; watch daily FMI updates and model refreshes through April 5 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 7?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 7?
0°C 26%
1°C 26%
2°C 26%
3°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
-1°C or below
26%
0°C
26%
1°C
26%
2°C
26%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C or higher
14%
0°C 26%
1°C 26%
2°C 26%
3°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
-1°C or below
$5 Vol.
26%
0°C
$0 Vol.
26%
1°C
$0 Vol.
26%
2°C
$0 Vol.
26%
3°C
$0 Vol.
26%
4°C
$0 Vol.
26%
5°C
$0 Vol.
26%
6°C
$0 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 7, with even 25.5% implied probabilities across -1°C to 8°C outcomes driven by divergent short-range forecast models amid transitional spring conditions. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance points to a daytime peak near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% precipitation odds early, influenced by low-pressure systems over the Norwegian Sea fostering cloud cover and cool southerly winds at 3 m/s. However, ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight risks of cooler maxima if persistent cloudiness or cold air advection dominates, contrasting historical early-April averages of 5–7°C following Finland's record-warm March. Key differentiators include frontal timing and clearing extent; watch daily FMI updates and model refreshes through April 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
音量
$5終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 7, with even 25.5% implied probabilities across -1°C to 8°C outcomes driven by divergent short-range forecast models amid transitional spring conditions. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance points to a daytime peak near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% precipitation odds early, influenced by low-pressure systems over the Norwegian Sea fostering cloud cover and cool southerly winds at 3 m/s. However, ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight risks of cooler maxima if persistent cloudiness or cold air advection dominates, contrasting historical early-April averages of 5–7°C following Finland's record-warm March. Key differentiators include frontal timing and clearing extent; watch daily FMI updates and model refreshes through April 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 7, with even 25.5% implied probabilities across -1°C to 8°C outcomes driven by divergent short-range forecast models amid transitional spring conditions. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance points to a daytime peak near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% precipitation odds early, influenced by low-pressure systems over the Norwegian Sea fostering cloud cover and cool southerly winds at 3 m/s. However, ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight risks of cooler maxima if persistent cloudiness or cold air advection dominates, contrasting historical early-April averages of 5–7°C following Finland's record-warm March. Key differentiators include frontal timing and clearing extent; watch daily FMI updates and model refreshes through April 5 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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