Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which cluster Miami's April 3 high temperature around 81°F amid neutral ENSO conditions and ongoing South Florida drought suppressing convective clouds for more solar heating. The narrow lead for 82-83°F (39%) over 80-81°F (32.5%) stems from sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow caps peaks at 80-81°F via coastal cooling, while delayed breezes under weak upper-level ridging allow 82-83°F amid low soil moisture for rapid diurnal warmup. Historical April 3 normals hit 82°F, aligning with this range, but 4-day forecast uncertainty persists from model spread of 1-2°F; watch NWS updates and 00Z/12Z runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 33%
76-77°F 12%
78-79°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
71°F or below
7%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
10%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 33%
76-77°F 12%
78-79°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
71°F or below
$36 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$20 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
12%
80-81°F
$22 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$9 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
10%
90°F or higher
$317 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which cluster Miami's April 3 high temperature around 81°F amid neutral ENSO conditions and ongoing South Florida drought suppressing convective clouds for more solar heating. The narrow lead for 82-83°F (39%) over 80-81°F (32.5%) stems from sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow caps peaks at 80-81°F via coastal cooling, while delayed breezes under weak upper-level ridging allow 82-83°F amid low soil moisture for rapid diurnal warmup. Historical April 3 normals hit 82°F, aligning with this range, but 4-day forecast uncertainty persists from model spread of 1-2°F; watch NWS updates and 00Z/12Z runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
音量
$404終了日
Apr 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which cluster Miami's April 3 high temperature around 81°F amid neutral ENSO conditions and ongoing South Florida drought suppressing convective clouds for more solar heating. The narrow lead for 82-83°F (39%) over 80-81°F (32.5%) stems from sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow caps peaks at 80-81°F via coastal cooling, while delayed breezes under weak upper-level ridging allow 82-83°F amid low soil moisture for rapid diurnal warmup. Historical April 3 normals hit 82°F, aligning with this range, but 4-day forecast uncertainty persists from model spread of 1-2°F; watch NWS updates and 00Z/12Z runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$404終了日
Apr 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which cluster Miami's April 3 high temperature around 81°F amid neutral ENSO conditions and ongoing South Florida drought suppressing convective clouds for more solar heating. The narrow lead for 82-83°F (39%) over 80-81°F (32.5%) stems from sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow caps peaks at 80-81°F via coastal cooling, while delayed breezes under weak upper-level ridging allow 82-83°F amid low soil moisture for rapid diurnal warmup. Historical April 3 normals hit 82°F, aligning with this range, but 4-day forecast uncertainty persists from model spread of 1-2°F; watch NWS updates and 00Z/12Z runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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