Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature today clustering around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, driving trader-implied probabilities of 35.5% for 16°C and 26.5% for 17°C amid a tight 1–2°C spread. Differentiating factors include haze from recent dryness and Asian dust inflows scattering solar insolation to cap diurnal heating, despite a stable continental high-pressure ridge fostering light westerly winds and dry air advection. Yesterday's observed 16°C high sets recent precedent, aligning with late-March climatology of 12–15°C averages but warmer due to ridge amplification. Inherent model uncertainty persists in peak afternoon heating (2–4 PM KST); monitor KMA hourly updates and satellite imagery for shifts before official station resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
16°C 34%
17°C 33%
18°C 18%
15°C 17.0%
$120,479 Vol.
$120,479 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
17%
16°C
34%
17°C
33%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 34%
17°C 33%
18°C 18%
15°C 17.0%
$120,479 Vol.
$120,479 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
17%
16°C
34%
17°C
33%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature today clustering around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, driving trader-implied probabilities of 35.5% for 16°C and 26.5% for 17°C amid a tight 1–2°C spread. Differentiating factors include haze from recent dryness and Asian dust inflows scattering solar insolation to cap diurnal heating, despite a stable continental high-pressure ridge fostering light westerly winds and dry air advection. Yesterday's observed 16°C high sets recent precedent, aligning with late-March climatology of 12–15°C averages but warmer due to ridge amplification. Inherent model uncertainty persists in peak afternoon heating (2–4 PM KST); monitor KMA hourly updates and satellite imagery for shifts before official station resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問