Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 80-85°F for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, mirroring the latest National Weather Service forecast high of 83°F and ensemble model means from GFS and ECMWF hovering in that band. A persistent upper-level ridge over the southern Plains drives southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air, boosting potential for peak afternoon heating above seasonal norms of ~70°F, but differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud cover from an incoming shortwave trough—ECMWF leans cooler with overcast skies (favoring 80-81°F), while GFS shows clearer conditions (propping 84-85°F). Inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with 12z model updates and DFW observations expected to sharpen odds by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のダラスの最高気温は?
3月29日のダラスの最高気温は?
84〜85°F 23%
80~81°F 22%
82〜83°F 19%
78~79°F 15%
73°F以下
1%
74〜75°F
5%
76~77°F
2%
78~79°F
15%
80~81°F
22%
82〜83°F
19%
84〜85°F
23%
86〜87°F
11%
88~89°F
7%
90〜91°F
2%
92°F以上
2%
84〜85°F 23%
80~81°F 22%
82〜83°F 19%
78~79°F 15%
73°F以下
1%
74〜75°F
5%
76~77°F
2%
78~79°F
15%
80~81°F
22%
82〜83°F
19%
84〜85°F
23%
86〜87°F
11%
88~89°F
7%
90〜91°F
2%
92°F以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 80-85°F for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, mirroring the latest National Weather Service forecast high of 83°F and ensemble model means from GFS and ECMWF hovering in that band. A persistent upper-level ridge over the southern Plains drives southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air, boosting potential for peak afternoon heating above seasonal norms of ~70°F, but differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud cover from an incoming shortwave trough—ECMWF leans cooler with overcast skies (favoring 80-81°F), while GFS shows clearer conditions (propping 84-85°F). Inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with 12z model updates and DFW observations expected to sharpen odds by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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