Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Los Angeles highs near 73°F on March 29 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, driving the closely matched trader consensus on 72-77°F outcomes with implied probabilities around 22-25%. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread, with most members clustering in the low-to-mid 70s due to light offshore flow suppressing the typical marine layer, though cooler coastal advection could cap peaks at 72°F while stronger subsidence boosts some to 76°F. Historical March averages hover at 68-70°F, but current neutral ENSO conditions and minimal cloud cover favor above-normal warmth. New 12z model updates and morning soundings will clarify diurnal heating potential before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 13%
78-79°F 12%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
6%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 13%
78-79°F 12%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Los Angeles highs near 73°F on March 29 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, driving the closely matched trader consensus on 72-77°F outcomes with implied probabilities around 22-25%. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread, with most members clustering in the low-to-mid 70s due to light offshore flow suppressing the typical marine layer, though cooler coastal advection could cap peaks at 72°F while stronger subsidence boosts some to 76°F. Historical March averages hover at 68-70°F, but current neutral ENSO conditions and minimal cloud cover favor above-normal warmth. New 12z model updates and morning soundings will clarify diurnal heating potential before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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