Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Los Angeles high temperature of 74-77°F on March 27, with 76-77°F at 27% implied probability slightly ahead of 74-75°F at 26%, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast near 76°F under weak high pressure. Key differentiators hinge on morning marine layer persistence: early stratus burn-off via diurnal heating could nudge peaks to 76-77°F, while prolonged onshore flow caps at 74-75°F, per GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads showing 2-3°F model divergence. Absent Santa Ana winds, 80°F+ odds stay low at ~25% combined, consistent with late-March climatology averaging 72°F highs at LAX; traders eye hourly meso-scale updates for burn-off timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 17%
78-79°F 12%
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
5%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 17%
78-79°F 12%
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Los Angeles high temperature of 74-77°F on March 27, with 76-77°F at 27% implied probability slightly ahead of 74-75°F at 26%, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast near 76°F under weak high pressure. Key differentiators hinge on morning marine layer persistence: early stratus burn-off via diurnal heating could nudge peaks to 76-77°F, while prolonged onshore flow caps at 74-75°F, per GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads showing 2-3°F model divergence. Absent Santa Ana winds, 80°F+ odds stay low at ~25% combined, consistent with late-March climatology averaging 72°F highs at LAX; traders eye hourly meso-scale updates for burn-off timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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