Trader consensus favors highs of 84-89°F for Dallas on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting 86-88°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge amplifying southerly winds and adiabatic warming. GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster near 87°F, with 22.0% implied odds on 88-89°F edging out 84-85°F (20.5%) and 86-87°F (19.5%) due to recent 00Z model runs showing reduced cloud cover risks. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency—favoring upper-80s if strong insolation persists—and potential convective inhibition capping at mid-80s; southerly low-level jet enhances moisture but limits extremes. This setup marks a sharp departure from the 72°F March climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月24日のダラスの最高気温は?
3月24日のダラスの最高気温は?
84~85°F 21%
88〜89°F 21%
86〜87°F 15%
82〜83°F 15%
77°F以下
3%
78-79°F
4%
80〜81°F
7%
82〜83°F
15%
84~85°F
21%
86〜87°F
20%
88〜89°F
21%
90~91°F
14%
92~93°F
5%
94〜95°F
2%
96°F以上
3%
84~85°F 21%
88〜89°F 21%
86〜87°F 15%
82〜83°F 15%
77°F以下
3%
78-79°F
4%
80〜81°F
7%
82〜83°F
15%
84~85°F
21%
86〜87°F
20%
88〜89°F
21%
90~91°F
14%
92~93°F
5%
94〜95°F
2%
96°F以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors highs of 84-89°F for Dallas on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting 86-88°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge amplifying southerly winds and adiabatic warming. GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster near 87°F, with 22.0% implied odds on 88-89°F edging out 84-85°F (20.5%) and 86-87°F (19.5%) due to recent 00Z model runs showing reduced cloud cover risks. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency—favoring upper-80s if strong insolation persists—and potential convective inhibition capping at mid-80s; southerly low-level jet enhances moisture but limits extremes. This setup marks a sharp departure from the 72°F March climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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