Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13–15°C for London's highest temperature on March 21, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast indicating a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow, with peak daytime maxima likely near 14°C amid partial cloud cover. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread, differentiating outcomes through subtle variations in boundary layer mixing and sea-breeze effects that could cap highs at 13°C or nudge them to 15°C. This exceeds the March historical average of 11–12°C, reflecting a positive temperature anomaly from persistent Atlantic warmth, though final hourly observations from Heathrow will resolve uncertainties in convective heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月21日のロンドンの最高気温は?
3月21日のロンドンの最高気温は?
14℃ 30%
13℃ 26%
15°C 22%
16°C 11%
$12,187 Vol.
$12,187 Vol.
8°C以下
1%
9℃
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
9%
13℃
26%
14℃
30%
15°C
22%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C以上
3%
14℃ 30%
13℃ 26%
15°C 22%
16°C 11%
$12,187 Vol.
$12,187 Vol.
8°C以下
1%
9℃
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
9%
13℃
26%
14℃
30%
15°C
22%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13–15°C for London's highest temperature on March 21, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast indicating a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow, with peak daytime maxima likely near 14°C amid partial cloud cover. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread, differentiating outcomes through subtle variations in boundary layer mixing and sea-breeze effects that could cap highs at 13°C or nudge them to 15°C. This exceeds the March historical average of 11–12°C, reflecting a positive temperature anomaly from persistent Atlantic warmth, though final hourly observations from Heathrow will resolve uncertainties in convective heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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