Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts project Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 22 at 28-30°C, fueling the 87.5% implied probability for 30°C or below amid subdued trader sentiment for hotter outcomes. This stems from a lingering western disturbance ushering cool northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, which curbs solar insolation and daytime heating—contrasting historical March averages of 30-32°C. Ensemble models like GFS and IMD's latest runs converge on these lows, with yesterday's 27.5°C high reinforcing the trend; light showers further dampen upside risks, positioning 31°C at just 4.5% as outliers fade absent sudden clearing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
30°C or below 88%
31°C 5%
32°C 2.4%
33°C <1%
$37,087 Vol.
$37,087 Vol.
30°C or below
88%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
30°C or below 88%
31°C 5%
32°C 2.4%
33°C <1%
$37,087 Vol.
$37,087 Vol.
30°C or below
88%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts project Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 22 at 28-30°C, fueling the 87.5% implied probability for 30°C or below amid subdued trader sentiment for hotter outcomes. This stems from a lingering western disturbance ushering cool northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, which curbs solar insolation and daytime heating—contrasting historical March averages of 30-32°C. Ensemble models like GFS and IMD's latest runs converge on these lows, with yesterday's 27.5°C high reinforcing the trend; light showers further dampen upside risks, positioning 31°C at just 4.5% as outliers fade absent sudden clearing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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