Traders overwhelmingly back 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 21, driven by consensus forecasts from the National Environment Agency (NEA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting stable inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover capping peaks at that level. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 32.5–33.5°C amid equatorial humidity that tempers extremes, and no signals of heat advection or subsidence inversions typical of rare spikes above 34°C. Challenges could arise from urban heat island intensification in land-scarce Singapore or an unforeseen northerly surge displacing clouds, though verified observations show low volatility in recent days, aligning market-implied odds near certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on March 21?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 21?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$94,466 Vol.
$94,466 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$94,466 Vol.
$94,466 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 21, driven by consensus forecasts from the National Environment Agency (NEA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting stable inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover capping peaks at that level. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 32.5–33.5°C amid equatorial humidity that tempers extremes, and no signals of heat advection or subsidence inversions typical of rare spikes above 34°C. Challenges could arise from urban heat island intensification in land-scarce Singapore or an unforeseen northerly surge displacing clouds, though verified observations show low volatility in recent days, aligning market-implied odds near certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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