Trader consensus favors 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 23 at 35% implied probability, closely trailed by 34°C (26.5%) and 32°C (26%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid the city's equatorial climate. Recent NEA updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles project peaks around 33°C under typical March conditions—average highs of 32.5°C boosted by lingering El Niño effects and urban heat island intensification. Differentiating factors include afternoon sea breeze strength and cumulonimbus cloud cover: stronger onshore winds or thunderstorms cap highs at 32°C, while delayed convection enables 34°C spikes, with historical data showing 1-2°C swings common on transitional monsoon days. Watch NEA's 48-hour outlook for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月23日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
3月23日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
33°C 35%
34℃ 27%
32°C 26%
35°C 8.3%
26℃以下
1%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
26%
33°C
35%
34℃
27%
35°C
8%
36°C以上
2%
33°C 35%
34℃ 27%
32°C 26%
35°C 8.3%
26℃以下
1%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
26%
33°C
35%
34℃
27%
35°C
8%
36°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 23 at 35% implied probability, closely trailed by 34°C (26.5%) and 32°C (26%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid the city's equatorial climate. Recent NEA updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles project peaks around 33°C under typical March conditions—average highs of 32.5°C boosted by lingering El Niño effects and urban heat island intensification. Differentiating factors include afternoon sea breeze strength and cumulonimbus cloud cover: stronger onshore winds or thunderstorms cap highs at 32°C, while delayed convection enables 34°C spikes, with historical data showing 1-2°C swings common on transitional monsoon days. Watch NEA's 48-hour outlook for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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