Traders heavily favor a Singapore high of 33°C (36.5% implied probability) driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast projecting 33-34°C on March 24 amid persistent clear skies and low wind speeds from the fading northeast monsoon. The equatorial climate's high solar insolation and urban heat island effect position 33-34°C as leading outcomes, aligning with March historical averages of 32.8°C max from NEA records, though recent days hit 35.2°C under similar conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converge on this range with minimal precipitation risk (10-20%), but an afternoon NEA update could adjust for any convective activity, influencing the 10.2% tail risk for 35°C+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月24日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
3月24日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
33℃ 37%
34℃ 27%
32℃ 23%
35°C以上 7.5%
25℃以下
1%
26°C
1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32℃
23%
33℃
37%
34℃
27%
35°C以上
8%
33℃ 37%
34℃ 27%
32℃ 23%
35°C以上 7.5%
25℃以下
1%
26°C
1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32℃
23%
33℃
37%
34℃
27%
35°C以上
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor a Singapore high of 33°C (36.5% implied probability) driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast projecting 33-34°C on March 24 amid persistent clear skies and low wind speeds from the fading northeast monsoon. The equatorial climate's high solar insolation and urban heat island effect position 33-34°C as leading outcomes, aligning with March historical averages of 32.8°C max from NEA records, though recent days hit 35.2°C under similar conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converge on this range with minimal precipitation risk (10-20%), but an afternoon NEA update could adjust for any convective activity, influencing the 10.2% tail risk for 35°C+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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