Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13–15°C for Seoul's March 23 high temperature, driven by ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), ECMWF, and GFS models projecting mild highs under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds. Recent overnight model runs slightly favored 14°C (25% implied odds) over 13°C (24%), as updated soundings indicate reduced cloud cover allowing greater daytime solar heating, while 15°C (16%) hinges on peak insolation without afternoon showers. Differentiating factors include small variances in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects in Seoul, against a March climatological average of 11–12°C; resolution awaits official KMA observations at Gimpo Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月23日のソウルの最高気温は?
3月23日のソウルの最高気温は?
14℃ 26%
13℃ 24%
15°C 16%
12℃ 13%
$27,625 Vol.
$27,625 Vol.
6℃以下
<1%
7°C
1%
8℃
1%
9℃
2%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12℃
13%
13℃
24%
14℃
26%
15°C
16%
16℃以上
13%
14℃ 26%
13℃ 24%
15°C 16%
12℃ 13%
$27,625 Vol.
$27,625 Vol.
6℃以下
<1%
7°C
1%
8℃
1%
9℃
2%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12℃
13%
13℃
24%
14℃
26%
15°C
16%
16℃以上
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13–15°C for Seoul's March 23 high temperature, driven by ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), ECMWF, and GFS models projecting mild highs under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds. Recent overnight model runs slightly favored 14°C (25% implied odds) over 13°C (24%), as updated soundings indicate reduced cloud cover allowing greater daytime solar heating, while 15°C (16%) hinges on peak insolation without afternoon showers. Differentiating factors include small variances in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects in Seoul, against a March climatological average of 11–12°C; resolution awaits official KMA observations at Gimpo Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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