Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 33°C (37.5%) and 34°C (31.0%) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting fair mornings with afternoon thundery showers and peaks near 33°C, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS models showing similar ranges. Singapore's equatorial climate during the inter-monsoon transition amplifies heat via high solar insolation and urban heat island effects, but convective showers often cap maxima by increasing cloud cover and humidity. Differentiation hinges on shower timing—earlier onset favors 33°C by suppressing peaks, while delays could push to 34°C amid sea breeze moderation; historical March 25 highs average 32-33°C with rare 35°C outliers amid low wind shear.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月25日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
3月25日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
33°C 38%
34℃ 31%
35℃ 19%
32°C 14%
26°C以下
1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29℃
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
38%
34℃
31%
35℃
19%
36℃以上
4%
33°C 38%
34℃ 31%
35℃ 19%
32°C 14%
26°C以下
1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29℃
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
38%
34℃
31%
35℃
19%
36℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 33°C (37.5%) and 34°C (31.0%) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting fair mornings with afternoon thundery showers and peaks near 33°C, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS models showing similar ranges. Singapore's equatorial climate during the inter-monsoon transition amplifies heat via high solar insolation and urban heat island effects, but convective showers often cap maxima by increasing cloud cover and humidity. Differentiation hinges on shower timing—earlier onset favors 33°C by suppressing peaks, while delays could push to 34°C amid sea breeze moderation; historical March 25 highs average 32-33°C with rare 35°C outliers amid low wind shear.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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