Trader sentiment for San Francisco's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around the low-to-mid 70s, with 74°F or higher leading at 29%, edged by 70-71°F at 28% and 72-73°F at 24.5%, driven by diverging short-range forecast models amid a strengthening subtropical ridge. The National Weather Service projects a high near 66°F under persistent marine layer stratus, capping coastal warming, while GFS and ECMWF ensembles signal potential offshore flow enhancement by Sunday, boosting diurnal heating to 70s thresholds. Historical March data at SFO shows average highs of 63°F but frequent 70°F outliers during ridging; lower 60s bins lag as traders weigh tonight's 00Z runs for marine inversion erosion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 24?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 24?
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 27%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 14%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
24%
74°F or higher
28%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 27%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 14%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
24%
74°F or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for San Francisco's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around the low-to-mid 70s, with 74°F or higher leading at 29%, edged by 70-71°F at 28% and 72-73°F at 24.5%, driven by diverging short-range forecast models amid a strengthening subtropical ridge. The National Weather Service projects a high near 66°F under persistent marine layer stratus, capping coastal warming, while GFS and ECMWF ensembles signal potential offshore flow enhancement by Sunday, boosting diurnal heating to 70s thresholds. Historical March data at SFO shows average highs of 63°F but frequent 70°F outliers during ridging; lower 60s bins lag as traders weigh tonight's 00Z runs for marine inversion erosion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問