Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 92-93°F (45.5%) and 94-95°F (32%) as Dallas's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the National Weather Service's point forecast of 93°F and convergence among GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. A persistent upper-level ridge over the southern Plains is advecting warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, with southerly winds at 10-15 mph minimizing cooling influences amid ample sunshine and minimal cloud cover. Recent soundings confirm dewpoints in the 60s°F, supporting convective potential but favoring dry heating; this setup echoes 2011's record March warmth, though uncertainty lingers from possible afternoon thunderstorms shifting odds slightly lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月22日のダラスの最高気温は?
3月22日のダラスの最高気温は?
92〜93°F 45%
94〜95°F 32%
90~91°F 18.1%
96~97°F 5%
$72,330 Vol.
$72,330 Vol.
79°F以下
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84~85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
1%
90~91°F
18%
92〜93°F
45%
94〜95°F
32%
96~97°F
5%
98°F以上
2%
92〜93°F 45%
94〜95°F 32%
90~91°F 18.1%
96~97°F 5%
$72,330 Vol.
$72,330 Vol.
79°F以下
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84~85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
1%
90~91°F
18%
92〜93°F
45%
94〜95°F
32%
96~97°F
5%
98°F以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 92-93°F (45.5%) and 94-95°F (32%) as Dallas's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the National Weather Service's point forecast of 93°F and convergence among GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. A persistent upper-level ridge over the southern Plains is advecting warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, with southerly winds at 10-15 mph minimizing cooling influences amid ample sunshine and minimal cloud cover. Recent soundings confirm dewpoints in the 60s°F, supporting convective potential but favoring dry heating; this setup echoes 2011's record March warmth, though uncertainty lingers from possible afternoon thunderstorms shifting odds slightly lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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