Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 82-87°F for Atlanta's March 22 high temperature, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which converge on peaks of 82-86°F amid a robust upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies for maximal solar insolation. This warmth stems from persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, pushing well above the March climatological average of 65°F. Differentiating the top bins—82-83°F (24%) versus 86-87°F (23.5%)—are subtle model divergences in afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with a 2-3°F spread reflecting typical diurnal heating uncertainty; upcoming 12z model runs could sharpen odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 15%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
5%
92°F or higher
5%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 15%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
5%
92°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 82-87°F for Atlanta's March 22 high temperature, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which converge on peaks of 82-86°F amid a robust upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies for maximal solar insolation. This warmth stems from persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, pushing well above the March climatological average of 65°F. Differentiating the top bins—82-83°F (24%) versus 86-87°F (23.5%)—are subtle model divergences in afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with a 2-3°F spread reflecting typical diurnal heating uncertainty; upcoming 12z model runs could sharpen odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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