Trader consensus on Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 22 splits evenly between 30°C and 31°C, driven by the latest INMET and CPTEC forecasts projecting a midday peak of 30-31°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for solar heating. Global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS imply a mean around 30.5°C, with slight differentiation hinging on afternoon convective clouds—potentially capping at 30°C if cumulus buildup increases, or allowing 31°C under drier conditions. March climatology averages 27°C maxima, but an ongoing heat dome has elevated baselines, with low wind shear minimizing cooling; traders eye final 12Z model updates for resolution clues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 22?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 22?
31°C 39%
30°C 38%
32°C 13%
29°C 7%
$20,712 Vol.
$20,712 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
38%
31°C
39%
32°C
13%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 38%
32°C 13%
29°C 7%
$20,712 Vol.
$20,712 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
38%
31°C
39%
32°C
13%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 22 splits evenly between 30°C and 31°C, driven by the latest INMET and CPTEC forecasts projecting a midday peak of 30-31°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for solar heating. Global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS imply a mean around 30.5°C, with slight differentiation hinging on afternoon convective clouds—potentially capping at 30°C if cumulus buildup increases, or allowing 31°C under drier conditions. March climatology averages 27°C maxima, but an ongoing heat dome has elevated baselines, with low wind shear minimizing cooling; traders eye final 12Z model updates for resolution clues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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