Tight competition between 29°C (36.5%) and 30°C (31.5%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on March 24 stems from converging global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which ensemble to a peak near 29.2°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. INMET's official outlook caps it at 29°C, influenced by lingering summer warmth, urban heat island amplification in the metropolis, and potential afternoon sea breeze moderation. Yesterday's observed 31°C high has cooled with incoming moisture, narrowing the spread versus 28°C (20.5%), while exceeding 30°C hinges on sustained solar insolation before evening convection; historical March 24 averages hover at 28°C, underscoring forecast precision risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28℃ 19%
31°C 17%
25°C以下
6%
26℃
4%
27℃
15%
28℃
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
3%
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28℃ 19%
31°C 17%
25°C以下
6%
26℃
4%
27℃
15%
28℃
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight competition between 29°C (36.5%) and 30°C (31.5%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on March 24 stems from converging global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which ensemble to a peak near 29.2°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. INMET's official outlook caps it at 29°C, influenced by lingering summer warmth, urban heat island amplification in the metropolis, and potential afternoon sea breeze moderation. Yesterday's observed 31°C high has cooled with incoming moisture, narrowing the spread versus 28°C (20.5%), while exceeding 30°C hinges on sustained solar insolation before evening convection; historical March 24 averages hover at 28°C, underscoring forecast precision risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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