Trader consensus slightly favors 84°F or higher in Los Angeles on March 24 (29.5% implied probability), propelled by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting highs near 85°F under a robust high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and light Santa Ana winds that suppress the coastal marine layer. Closely trailing 78-79°F (23.5%) and 74-75°F (22.5%) odds reflect model spread, with ECMWF cooler due to potential onshore flow resurgence adding stratus clouds and 5-8°F cooling. NWS Los Angeles observations show clear skies and rising temps early, aligning with historical outliers when ridging dominates; evening forecast updates could sharpen differentiation amid 3-5°F uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
84°F or higher 36%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 19%
65°F or below
8%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
16%
84°F or higher
36%
84°F or higher 36%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 19%
65°F or below
8%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
16%
84°F or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors 84°F or higher in Los Angeles on March 24 (29.5% implied probability), propelled by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting highs near 85°F under a robust high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and light Santa Ana winds that suppress the coastal marine layer. Closely trailing 78-79°F (23.5%) and 74-75°F (22.5%) odds reflect model spread, with ECMWF cooler due to potential onshore flow resurgence adding stratus clouds and 5-8°F cooling. NWS Los Angeles observations show clear skies and rising temps early, aligning with historical outliers when ridging dominates; evening forecast updates could sharpen differentiation amid 3-5°F uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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