Latest ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF models place London's Heathrow high on March 25 around 9-11°C, fueling the tight race among top outcomes, with trader consensus implying 58% odds for 9-11°C. A weak high-pressure ridge over the UK allows mild Atlantic air advection, but uncertainty in cloud cover—denser stratus from nearby low-pressure troughs favors cooler 8-9°C maxima, while partial clearing could push 10-11°C via enhanced insolation. Recent 12Z model runs slightly boosted 10°C probabilities amid minimal wind shear, contrasting historical March averages of 11.5°C amid this year's cooler stratospheric polar vortex influence. Key watch: evening updates resolving cloud evolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月25日のロンドンの最高気温は?
3月25日のロンドンの最高気温は?
10°C 31%
9℃ 28%
8℃ 20%
7°C 18%
5℃以下
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
18%
8℃
20%
9℃
28%
10°C
31%
11℃
21%
12°C
7%
13℃
2%
14°C
2%
15°C以上
1%
10°C 31%
9℃ 28%
8℃ 20%
7°C 18%
5℃以下
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
18%
8℃
20%
9℃
28%
10°C
31%
11℃
21%
12°C
7%
13℃
2%
14°C
2%
15°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF models place London's Heathrow high on March 25 around 9-11°C, fueling the tight race among top outcomes, with trader consensus implying 58% odds for 9-11°C. A weak high-pressure ridge over the UK allows mild Atlantic air advection, but uncertainty in cloud cover—denser stratus from nearby low-pressure troughs favors cooler 8-9°C maxima, while partial clearing could push 10-11°C via enhanced insolation. Recent 12Z model runs slightly boosted 10°C probabilities amid minimal wind shear, contrasting historical March averages of 11.5°C amid this year's cooler stratospheric polar vortex influence. Key watch: evening updates resolving cloud evolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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