Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 15°C in London on March 23 (62% implied probability), driven by the latest Met Office forecast indicating a maximum around 14-16°C under mild Atlantic airflow, with ECMWF and GFS models converging on this outcome after recent runs. Supporting factors include recent days' highs of 12-14°C amid high pressure building southeast, elevating odds above the March historical average of 11-12°C, while cooler 14°C (21.5%) and warmer 16°C (10.3%) reflect residual model spread from cloud cover variability. No extreme signals from NOAA or UKMO disrupt this; traders eye afternoon peak data for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月23日のロンドンの最高気温は?
3月23日のロンドンの最高気温は?
15°C 55%
14°C 29%
16°C 10.7%
13°C 5.1%
$47,574 Vol.
$47,574 Vol.
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
29%
15°C
55%
16°C
11%
17℃
3%
18°C
1%
19°C以上
<1%
15°C 55%
14°C 29%
16°C 10.7%
13°C 5.1%
$47,574 Vol.
$47,574 Vol.
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
29%
15°C
55%
16°C
11%
17℃
3%
18°C
1%
19°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 15°C in London on March 23 (62% implied probability), driven by the latest Met Office forecast indicating a maximum around 14-16°C under mild Atlantic airflow, with ECMWF and GFS models converging on this outcome after recent runs. Supporting factors include recent days' highs of 12-14°C amid high pressure building southeast, elevating odds above the March historical average of 11-12°C, while cooler 14°C (21.5%) and warmer 16°C (10.3%) reflect residual model spread from cloud cover variability. No extreme signals from NOAA or UKMO disrupt this; traders eye afternoon peak data for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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