Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20°C and 21°C for Chongqing's March 22 high temperature, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks of 19–22°C amid early spring warming. Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate typically sees March highs averaging 18–20°C, but southerly winds advecting mild air from the Yangtze basin have pushed recent days toward the upper end, with urban heat island effects in the megacity adding 1–2°C. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure trough—partial clearing favors 21°C, while increased overcast caps at 20°C—against a narrow 1°C model spread and historical diurnal ranges of 8–10°C. Upcoming CMA 12-hour update at 0600 UTC could shift odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
20°C 37%
21°C 36%
22°C 10%
19°C 4.0%
$13,710 Vol.
$13,710 Vol.
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
37%
21°C
36%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 37%
21°C 36%
22°C 10%
19°C 4.0%
$13,710 Vol.
$13,710 Vol.
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
37%
21°C
36%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20°C and 21°C for Chongqing's March 22 high temperature, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks of 19–22°C amid early spring warming. Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate typically sees March highs averaging 18–20°C, but southerly winds advecting mild air from the Yangtze basin have pushed recent days toward the upper end, with urban heat island effects in the megacity adding 1–2°C. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure trough—partial clearing favors 21°C, while increased overcast caps at 20°C—against a narrow 1°C model spread and historical diurnal ranges of 8–10°C. Upcoming CMA 12-hour update at 0600 UTC could shift odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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