Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (38.5%) and 20°C (36%) as Wuhan's highest temperature on March 22, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on peak daytime highs of 19.2–20.1°C under mild southerly winds and post-frontal clearing. Differentiating these close outcomes hinges on model spread in boundary layer stability and cloud forcing: ECMWF leans cooler at 19°C with lingering stratocumulus decks suppressing insolation, while GFS outliers hit 20–21°C assuming fuller diurnal heating. Historical March 22 highs average 17.5°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but a +2°C warm anomaly and Wuhan's urban heat island amplify upside risk; monitor 12Z updates for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 22?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 22?
19°C 48%
20°C 36%
21°C 24%
22°C 22%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
39%
20°C
36%
21°C
24%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
5%
19°C 48%
20°C 36%
21°C 24%
22°C 22%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
39%
20°C
36%
21°C
24%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (38.5%) and 20°C (36%) as Wuhan's highest temperature on March 22, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on peak daytime highs of 19.2–20.1°C under mild southerly winds and post-frontal clearing. Differentiating these close outcomes hinges on model spread in boundary layer stability and cloud forcing: ECMWF leans cooler at 19°C with lingering stratocumulus decks suppressing insolation, while GFS outliers hit 20–21°C assuming fuller diurnal heating. Historical March 22 highs average 17.5°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but a +2°C warm anomaly and Wuhan's urban heat island amplify upside risk; monitor 12Z updates for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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