Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, indicating a high near 24-25°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly winds, anchors trader sentiment with 55% implied odds on 24°C and 33% on 25°C. Recent observations show highs of 23-24°C over the past week amid clear skies and urban heat effects, consistent with March climatology where daily maxima average 22-24°C but often exceed this in subtropical high regimes. Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS exhibits tight clustering around these values, with low precipitation risk minimizing cooling, relegating 23°C or below to 12.7% combined probability as traders price in minimal frontal interference.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月22日の香港の最高気温は?
3月22日の香港の最高気温は?
24°C 58%
25°C 26%
23°C 10.8%
26°C 8.2%
$33,153 Vol.
$33,153 Vol.
17°C以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
51%
25°C
33%
26°C
8%
27℃以上
3%
24°C 58%
25°C 26%
23°C 10.8%
26°C 8.2%
$33,153 Vol.
$33,153 Vol.
17°C以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
51%
25°C
33%
26°C
8%
27℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, indicating a high near 24-25°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly winds, anchors trader sentiment with 55% implied odds on 24°C and 33% on 25°C. Recent observations show highs of 23-24°C over the past week amid clear skies and urban heat effects, consistent with March climatology where daily maxima average 22-24°C but often exceed this in subtropical high regimes. Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS exhibits tight clustering around these values, with low precipitation risk minimizing cooling, relegating 23°C or below to 12.7% combined probability as traders price in minimal frontal interference.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問