Trader sentiment clusters tightly around mid-70s highs for Los Angeles on March 26, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 75°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California, with minimal marine layer influence expected under clear skies and light onshore winds. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread—means of 74-76°F—reflecting low volatility from stable upper-level patterns, though slight divergences arise from timing of peak heating and coastal cooling effects. This differentiates leading bins: 74-75°F edges ahead on cooler model biases, while 76-79°F gains from historical March warm anomalies (averaging 71°F) and recent dry trends boosting 2-3°F above climatology, underscoring traders' focus on 1-2 degree resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
86°F or higher 25%
76-77°F 19%
78-79°F 19%
70-71°F 18%
67°F or below
17%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
14%
86°F or higher 25%
76-77°F 19%
78-79°F 19%
70-71°F 18%
67°F or below
17%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around mid-70s highs for Los Angeles on March 26, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 75°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California, with minimal marine layer influence expected under clear skies and light onshore winds. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread—means of 74-76°F—reflecting low volatility from stable upper-level patterns, though slight divergences arise from timing of peak heating and coastal cooling effects. This differentiates leading bins: 74-75°F edges ahead on cooler model biases, while 76-79°F gains from historical March warm anomalies (averaging 71°F) and recent dry trends boosting 2-3°F above climatology, underscoring traders' focus on 1-2 degree resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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