National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport (KMIA) project a daytime high near 78-79°F on March 30, driving trader consensus with 41.5% implied probability for this bin amid east winds of 10-15 mph, scattered clouds, and 40-50% shower chances that cap solar insolation and surface heating—mirroring March 29's observed peak of 78-79°F under similar synoptic patterns from a mid-level trough and Atlantic high pressure ridge promoting subsidence. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles align on subdued warming below late-March climatological norms of 79-81°F, with sea breeze development further moderating inland temperatures. Realistic uncertainty stems from afternoon clearing potentially nudging into 80-81°F (31.5%) or convective outbreaks limiting to 76-77°F (19%); track hourly KMIA METARs and NWS updates through sunset for resolution cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on March 30?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 30?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 8.8%
$14,592 Vol.
$14,592 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 8.8%
$14,592 Vol.
$14,592 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport (KMIA) project a daytime high near 78-79°F on March 30, driving trader consensus with 41.5% implied probability for this bin amid east winds of 10-15 mph, scattered clouds, and 40-50% shower chances that cap solar insolation and surface heating—mirroring March 29's observed peak of 78-79°F under similar synoptic patterns from a mid-level trough and Atlantic high pressure ridge promoting subsidence. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles align on subdued warming below late-March climatological norms of 79-81°F, with sea breeze development further moderating inland temperatures. Realistic uncertainty stems from afternoon clearing potentially nudging into 80-81°F (31.5%) or convective outbreaks limiting to 76-77°F (19%); track hourly KMIA METARs and NWS updates through sunset for resolution cues.
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