Tight clustering of market-implied odds around 2–7°C (25–26.5%) underscores substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's April 4 high temperature forecast, driven by divergent model outputs amid early spring variability. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's update projects a 3°C maximum under cloudy conditions with 50% precipitation odds and light 3 m/s winds, reflecting a cooling trend from recent 6–7°C highs as cooler continental air advances over the Baltic Sea region. Yr.no anticipates a milder 5°C peak despite 2.9 mm rain potential. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, frontal boundary timing, and sea-effect moderation; ensemble spread highlights model disagreements on boundary layer stability, with fresh FMI and ECMWF updates due overnight likely to influence trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 4?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 4?
4°C 26%
5°C 26%
2℃ 19%
6°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
0℃以下
1%
1℃
3%
2℃
19%
3℃
11%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
19%
7°C
11%
8°C
4%
9°C
2%
10°C or higher
3%
4°C 26%
5°C 26%
2℃ 19%
6°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
0℃以下
$230 Vol.
1%
1℃
$30 Vol.
3%
2℃
$0 Vol.
19%
3℃
$0 Vol.
11%
4°C
$0 Vol.
26%
5°C
$0 Vol.
26%
6°C
$0 Vol.
19%
7°C
$0 Vol.
11%
8°C
$20 Vol.
4%
9°C
$82 Vol.
2%
10°C or higher
$45 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight clustering of market-implied odds around 2–7°C (25–26.5%) underscores substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's April 4 high temperature forecast, driven by divergent model outputs amid early spring variability. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's update projects a 3°C maximum under cloudy conditions with 50% precipitation odds and light 3 m/s winds, reflecting a cooling trend from recent 6–7°C highs as cooler continental air advances over the Baltic Sea region. Yr.no anticipates a milder 5°C peak despite 2.9 mm rain potential. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, frontal boundary timing, and sea-effect moderation; ensemble spread highlights model disagreements on boundary layer stability, with fresh FMI and ECMWF updates due overnight likely to influence trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$407終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight clustering of market-implied odds around 2–7°C (25–26.5%) underscores substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's April 4 high temperature forecast, driven by divergent model outputs amid early spring variability. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's update projects a 3°C maximum under cloudy conditions with 50% precipitation odds and light 3 m/s winds, reflecting a cooling trend from recent 6–7°C highs as cooler continental air advances over the Baltic Sea region. Yr.no anticipates a milder 5°C peak despite 2.9 mm rain potential. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, frontal boundary timing, and sea-effect moderation; ensemble spread highlights model disagreements on boundary layer stability, with fresh FMI and ECMWF updates due overnight likely to influence trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$407終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 8:55 PM ETTight clustering of market-implied odds around 2–7°C (25–26.5%) underscores substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's April 4 high temperature forecast, driven by divergent model outputs amid early spring variability. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's update projects a 3°C maximum under cloudy conditions with 50% precipitation odds and light 3 m/s winds, reflecting a cooling trend from recent 6–7°C highs as cooler continental air advances over the Baltic Sea region. Yr.no anticipates a milder 5°C peak despite 2.9 mm rain potential. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence, frontal boundary timing, and sea-effect moderation; ensemble spread highlights model disagreements on boundary layer stability, with fresh FMI and ECMWF updates due overnight likely to influence trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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