Hong Kong Observatory's latest short-term forecast, issued March 30, projects a maximum temperature range of 23–27°C for April 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions with showers and squally thunderstorms, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 23–28°C outcomes at 21–24% each. This reflects recent variability—27°C peak on March 28 followed by 24°C on March 29—under moderate southerly winds limiting daytime heating, set against a spring 2026 outlook of normal to above-normal temperatures due to warming equatorial Pacific seas and long-term climate trends. Trader consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation from cloud cover; watch HKO's next 9-day update for refined model guidance on instability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?
25°C 24%
26°C 24%
27°C 24%
28°C or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C or higher
21%
25°C 24%
26°C 24%
27°C 24%
28°C or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
18°C or below
$140 Vol.
2%
19°C
$209 Vol.
7%
20°C
$287 Vol.
3%
21°C
$72 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$11 Vol.
16%
24°C
$82 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$279 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C or higher
$2 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest short-term forecast, issued March 30, projects a maximum temperature range of 23–27°C for April 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions with showers and squally thunderstorms, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 23–28°C outcomes at 21–24% each. This reflects recent variability—27°C peak on March 28 followed by 24°C on March 29—under moderate southerly winds limiting daytime heating, set against a spring 2026 outlook of normal to above-normal temperatures due to warming equatorial Pacific seas and long-term climate trends. Trader consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation from cloud cover; watch HKO's next 9-day update for refined model guidance on instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
音量
$1,081終了日
Apr 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest short-term forecast, issued March 30, projects a maximum temperature range of 23–27°C for April 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions with showers and squally thunderstorms, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 23–28°C outcomes at 21–24% each. This reflects recent variability—27°C peak on March 28 followed by 24°C on March 29—under moderate southerly winds limiting daytime heating, set against a spring 2026 outlook of normal to above-normal temperatures due to warming equatorial Pacific seas and long-term climate trends. Trader consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation from cloud cover; watch HKO's next 9-day update for refined model guidance on instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,081終了日
Apr 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest short-term forecast, issued March 30, projects a maximum temperature range of 23–27°C for April 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions with showers and squally thunderstorms, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 23–28°C outcomes at 21–24% each. This reflects recent variability—27°C peak on March 28 followed by 24°C on March 29—under moderate southerly winds limiting daytime heating, set against a spring 2026 outlook of normal to above-normal temperatures due to warming equatorial Pacific seas and long-term climate trends. Trader consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation from cloud cover; watch HKO's next 9-day update for refined model guidance on instability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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